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2024-12-14 03:55:20

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Beizheng 50 rose more than 1%, Huayang Racing Car had a daily limit of 30CM, and Ricky Zhizao, Fuheng New Materials and Bai Xinglong rose more than 10%.The White House commuted the sentences of 1,500 people in one day, and Biden pardoned 39 people in one day. According to Agence France-Presse reported on December 12, US President Biden commuted the sentences of nearly 1,500 people and pardoned 39 people at the end of his term. The White House said that this was the "largest" leniency action in a single day in American history. Biden announced on the 12th that about 1,500 people would be commuted, and at the same time, 39 non-violent offenders would be pardoned, saying that they had turned over a new leaf and were committed to making the community safer. (Reference message)


Fat Donglai is working out stricter measures to solve the problem of purchasing, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document saying: Fat Donglai is working out stricter and more effective measures! In the future, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system! Discuss and formulate relevant systems to control purchasing behavior and lift the membership of permanent fat east!Musk: Grok can now generate four images at the same time and render them step by step.Li Dongsheng said that low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved. On December 11th, at TCL Global Innovation Conference, founder Li Dongsheng said that in the current market competition, low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved in endless "involution". To surpass its competitors, it is necessary to strive for more breakthroughs in high-end products. He Jun, vice president of TCL Industry, talked about the current development of industrial software enterprises in China in a subsequent interview. He also said that from the aspects of financing environment and market support for enterprises, China is not an environment where good software enterprises can be born at present, but in the long run, industrial software may make a breakthrough in China software, and this time will not be very fast, and it will not be seen for three or five years.


Coal stocks fluctuated lower Antai Group fell more than 6%, coal stocks fluctuated lower, Antai Group fell more than 6%, and mountain coal international, Dayou Energy, Shaanxi Black Cat, China Coal Energy and Lu 'an Huaneng followed suit.Beizheng 50 rose more than 1%, Huayang Racing Car had a daily limit of 30CM, and Ricky Zhizao, Fuheng New Materials and Bai Xinglong rose more than 10%.As of the close of early trading, the Nikkei 225 index fell by 1.2% and the Dongzheng index fell by 1.3%.

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